(619) 977-7777 kevin@reef-realty.com

Get Off the Fence

Still waiting for the “perfect time” to buy? The market might already be giving you the green light.

The most reliable source we have for tracking home price trends is the Case-Shiller Index. While it reports about two months behind real time, its trend lines don’t lie. As of today (9/15/25), we have June’s numbers—and here’s what they show:

  • Prices are down 2.8% from the peak in Dec. 2024.
  • That’s a 5.6% annualized decline—a meaningful drop by any standard.
  • Every single month from Dec. 2024 through June 2025 has trended down.

If you connect the dots, it’s reasonable to expect July and August to continue that same slide. On the ground, the data matches up: homes are sitting on the market longer, sellers are cutting prices, and nearly 50% more sellers are just pulling their listings altogether.

Now here’s where it gets interesting:

  • Mortgage rates have already come down almost a full point since January.
  • Adjustable-rate mortgages are popping up in the 4.99% range, locked for 7 years (per BankRate.com).
  • And with another Fed meeting this week, buyers could soon be looking at even more favorable financing.

 

If you’ve been on the sidelines, this is the window the market has been whispering about. Prices are softening, sellers are blinking first, and financing is finally loosening up.

 

Question is—will you move before the opportunity passes, or keep watching from the fence?

Let’s talk strategy and make sure you don’t miss this cycle.

Interest Rate Cuts Ahead? What It Could Mean for You

  I came across a headline today: “Fed Rate Cut Grows More Likely as Inflation Holds Steady at 2.7%.” Naturally, that raises the million-dollar question for consumers: What does this mean for me? In real estate, timing is everything — or at least we like to...

Ah yes, the good old “Price Improvement.”

Lately, I’ve been getting flooded with emails from agents excitedly announcing a “Price Improvement” on their listings. Let’s be honest— for whom exactly is this an improvement? Certainly not the seller. It’s not a price improvement; it’s a price reduction. Call it...

California Prop. 19 Part 2 – The Parent-Child Transfer

In addition to the Senior Reappraisal Exclusion, the second part of Prop 19 is The Parent-Child Transfer.  Understanding the Parent-Child Property Transfer Under Proposition 19  In California, Proposition 19 has significantly changed how property transfers between...

Granny Flats, Tiny Homes and ADUs: The essential guide

ADUs (or accessory dwelling units) are the hot topic in real estate, but what are they worth?  Illustrative story: A homebuyer recently commented that he had “overpaid” by $100,000 for a home that had a tiny home in the backyard. Did he? It depends on what he meant...

The 10 most common Title issues

These are 10 most common title issues that could cost you money down the road and possibly put your ownership rights at risk.  They could also blow up your current real estate transaction.  Make sure your agent reviews and explains your title report with you....

how much is my home worth

How Much Is My House Worth?

How Much Is My House Worth? It’s a simple question—one that many tech companies want you to believe has a simple answer. Unfortunately, nothing could be further from the truth. There’s a quick way to get a number, and then there’s the right way to determine your...